The price of bitcoin can be seen significantly in 2026, increasing the traditional four -year market cycle, according to Bitwaiz Chief Investment Officer Matt Hogan.
The prediction comes when other analysts are divided on whether Bitcoin (BTC) will deviate from its historical pattern or follow the traditional half cycle and peak in the coming months.
Bitcoin can be “good for a few years,” Hogan says
“I bet that 2026 is an up year,” Hogan Said In an X video on Friday. “I think we’ve a good few years,” Hogan couple,
Hogan said that the half cycle of the four -year -old “is” dead “for several reasons, including bitcoin being” half important “every four years, and the interest rate cycle is positive for crypto. Since April, US President Donald Trump is publicly pressurizing Federal Reserve president Geom Powell to cut interest rates, rapidly rapidly rapidly rapid rate for bitcoin, rapidly rapidly rapid rate for bitcoin, rapidly rapidly rapid rate for bitcoin, rapidly rapid rates for bitcoin, rapidly rapid rates for bitcoin, rapidly rapidly rapid rate for bitcoin, rapidly rapid rate for bitcoin, in rapid rate for bitcoin. Traditional property -like bonds and term deposits make less appeal to investors.
Hogan also said that the probability of significant value pullback has decreased as the industry attains more clarity on the rules. “The blow-up risk is observed due to improvement in regulation and institutionalization of space,” Hougan said.
He said that given the ongoing regulatory process and the early stage of institutional adoption, the possibility of bitcoin is more opposite to the historical trends in this cycle:
The “long-term supporter-crypto force classic” will overwhelm the four-year cycle “forces, which are present, and that 2026 would be a good year.”
Hogan said that the most important “risk of cyclic-style” for bitcoin is the rise of bitcoin treasury companies. “Watching the bear and important,” said Hogan.
Asset manager Vanak recently resonated the same concern, warning that by issuing new stocks or taking a loan, firms that deposit bitcoin are particularly weak.
Vaennek said that if the price of bitcoin declines rapidly, these companies can be oversized.
Bitcoin is more likely to look at a “continuous stable bounce”
However, Hogan estimated that the price rally of bitcoin would be stable rather than being aggressive in the short term. “I think it’s more” constant stable bounce “than a super-cycle,” he said.
He said, “I can be wrong, and I am sure there will be significant instability.”
Cryptoctive CEO’s Young Zoo said that bitcoin is a four -year cycle theory “dead.”
Connected: Bitcoin Bulls ‘In Control’ as BTC Price Rebounds $ 118k
“My predictions were based on this – when the whales accumulate, buy, when joining the retail. But this pattern no longer remains,” Ju said.
“The last cycle, whale is sold to retail. This time, the old whales sell the new long -term whale. The institutional adoption is greater than our view,” Joo said.
However, everyone says that the pattern has changed. Crypto analyst Racket Capital has recently warned that only a few months in the cycle near bitcoin can leave the expansion, especially if it follows the same historical pattern from 2020.
Rekt reported that if the bitcoin cycle follows the 2020 pattern, the market probability will be at its peak in October, which is 550 days later in April 2024 due to bitcoin.
magazine: Robinhood’s token shares shook a legal hornet’s nest
