key takeaways:
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LTC’s Spot Cumulative Volume Delta first flipped positively after December 2024, indicating a positive change in the market spirit.
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A potential LTC ETF can trigger the demand of institutional investor and align with its historically strong Q4 performance.
LiteCoin (LTC) is slipped below the $ 90 mark, and while the price action may appear weak, many fundamental and onchain indicators suggest that the tide may soon turn to the bull’s side.
A bullish trend shift can be identified with a 90-day spot cumulative volume delta (CVD), which estimates the balance between buying and selling markets. Since December 2024, the spot CVD became a positive flip on 28 June after being negative and several times neutral. The shift indicates a return to a “bought -taking major” phase, suggesting that market participants are stepping to purchase LTC at current prices.
A potential LTC exchange-traded fund (ETF) may promote the case of speed speed. Cointelegraph reported that Bloomberg’s ETF analysts believe that 95% chance that LTC ETF, SOL and XRP ETF can receive SEC approval by 2 October, 2025, with ETF, SOL and XRP ETF. A successful approval would be a historic milestone for altcoin, possibly unlocked institutional investors and broad retail performance.
However, seasonal may reduce short -term expectations. Data suggests that August and September are historically the weakest months for LTC, posting negative returns of 6.99% and 5.06% since 2012. However, it usually occurs after a significant change in Q4, in November it is historically the best performing month for LTC, with an average of 94.79% returns.
If the approval is provided, the ETF decision coincides with the seasonal axis in the performance of the LTC, establishing the platform for a possible rally. Combined with ongoing changes in onchain buyer behavior, weakness of current value can be less than a warning signal and may exceed a strategic accumulation area.
Related: sol ETF news benefits, while charts warns another 20% drop
LTC Daily Chart 2024 setup echo
The current value structure of LTC is reflecting its 2024 trajectory. After a strong Q1 rally earlier this year, LTC entered an improvement phase and was pressed under a descending trendline in Q2.
Prices have rebuilt a high-composition daily demand zone (highlighted in Orange), which served as a base for a breakout in Q4 2024.
A stable accumulation within this demand area can trigger another rally. At the end of the previous year, LTC broke over the descending trendline and retrieved a 50-day and 200-day moving average, a major confirmation of the strength of the fast. It led a continuous rally for the new annual high level in Q4.
A breakout above the trendline and rapid recurrence of these moving averages will provide strong technical verification for the reverse continuity title in Q4 2025.
Related: Bitcoin squeezes shorts in $ 108k spikes as American jobs fall the most in 2 years
There are no investment advice or recommendations in this article. Each investment and business move include risk, and readers should conduct their own research while taking decisions.
